Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 0.016677 0.018597 0.020528 0.022607 0.024779 0.026976 0.029360
2025-03-23 0.013099 0.016087 0.019214 0.022700 0.026452 0.030347 0.034674
2025-03-30 0.010756 0.014286 0.018096 0.022450 0.027234 0.032283 0.037973
2025-04-06 0.008947 0.012833 0.017153 0.022200 0.027841 0.033876 0.040753
2025-04-13 0.006977 0.010985 0.015597 0.021115 0.027394 0.034204 0.042049
2025-04-20 0.006134 0.010378 0.015388 0.021482 0.028502 0.036183 0.045093
2025-04-27 0.005180 0.009537 0.014830 0.021386 0.029032 0.037474 0.047335
2025-05-04 0.004227 0.008599 0.014086 0.021014 0.029199 0.038318 0.049040
2025-05-11 0.003614 0.008049 0.013775 0.021120 0.029886 0.039719 0.051343
2025-05-18 0.003023 0.007464 0.013378 0.021088 0.030384 0.040884 0.053358
2025-05-25 0.002406 0.006765 0.012788 0.020784 0.030534 0.041628 0.054876
2025-06-01 0.001968 0.006283 0.012449 0.020767 0.031003 0.042720 0.056773
2025-06-08 0.001448 0.005611 0.011854 0.020455 0.031166 0.043519 0.058413
2025-06-15 0.001092 0.005160 0.011545 0.020500 0.031766 0.044839 0.060669
2025-06-22 0.000736 0.004607 0.011044 0.020268 0.032001 0.045711 0.062390
2025-06-29 0.000452 0.004095 0.010560 0.020028 0.032208 0.046533 0.064037
2025-07-06 0.000145 0.003265 0.009516 0.018994 0.031395 0.046125 0.064239
2025-07-13 0.000076 0.003100 0.009502 0.019344 0.032305 0.047755 0.066801
2025-07-20 0.000011 0.002765 0.009179 0.019253 0.032645 0.048695 0.068549
2025-07-27 NaN 0.002355 0.008685 0.018899 0.032635 0.049203 0.069781
2025-08-03 NaN 0.002145 0.008522 0.018999 0.033199 0.050394 0.071808
2025-08-10 NaN 0.001904 0.008277 0.018969 0.033584 0.051363 0.073565
2025-08-17 NaN 0.001599 0.007866 0.018680 0.033621 0.051899 0.074806